Shifting Tides: Diverging Paths for Consumers and Businesses in Australia
Shifting Tides: Diverging Paths for Consumers and Businesses in Australia
6
As data from recent surveys illustrate, Australian households are sinking deeper into financial gloom, while businesses are finding a glimmer of optimism amid persisting challenges.
Westpac's latest consumer sentiment survey, released this Tuesday, indicates an escalating sense of pessimism among consumers. The bank's index, which reflects expectations for variable mortgage rates over the next twelve months, soared by 12.8% in July. This spike marks the highest monthly rise since the inception of the survey at the beginning of 2022.
"Consumer sentiment has remained entrenched in a deeply pessimistic zone for two years now," remarked Matthew Hassan, Senior Economist at Westpac.
Despite government incentives like the stage three tax cuts and fiscal support measures initiated from July 1, many households haven't experienced immediate financial relief due to banking payment cycles that often extend fortnightly or monthly. "Inflation pressures and the looming threat of more interest rate hikes continue to overshadow consumer sentiment," Hassan observed.
A staggering 60% of consumers anticipate a rise in mortgage rates over the next year. With the Reserve Bank's meeting on August 5-6 being deemed "live" for a potential interest rate hike to 4.6%, caution seems warranted. Added to this, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expressed concerns in its June meeting minutes that returning inflation to the target range of 2-3% might take longer than desired.
Family finances appear to be a primary source of consumer stress, with the corresponding sub-index plummeting by 8.4% in July, almost entirely reversing the previous month's 9.7% gain. This underscores the fragile state of household budgets.
In contrast, the same day also saw the release of National Australia Bank's (NAB) business confidence data, which painted a more optimistic picture. Business confidence rose last month, buoyed by a broad-based uptick across various industries, marking the highest level seen this year. However, business conditions continued on a downward trajectory, following a peak in late 2022.
NAB's head of Australian economics, Gareth Spence, noted a significant decline in the employment index during the month. "Though it's just one month's reading, the employment index dropping below its long-term average might indicate weakening labour demand paralleling a broader economic slowdown," Spence commented.
Other economic indicators delivered mixed signals. Forward orders dipped deeply into negative territory, mainly dragged down by the retail and wholesale sectors. Labour cost growth eased to 1.8% on a quarterly equivalent after May's 2.3%. On the other hand, purchase cost growth declined from 1.7% to 1.3%.
Despite these contractions, Spence highlighted a positive turn. "Encouragingly, key price and cost growth metrics have rolled back their increases from the previous month," he said. Retail price growth remained steady but notably high, notwithstanding the sluggish outlook and dented industry confidence.
Overall, these recent survey results portray a nuanced economic landscape. As articulated by Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Head of Australian Economics, Gareth Aird, the combined insights from Westpac, NAB, and job advertisement data from Seek depict an Australian economy gradually softening, with disparate impacts on consumers and businesses alike.
Peter Stevens Motorcycles, a cornerstone of Australia's motorcycle retail industry since 1970, has entered voluntary administration, revealing debts exceeding $65 million. This development casts uncertainty over the future of the company's 400 employees and its extensive customer base. - read more
Harley-Davidson is reportedly in discussions to sell a stake in its financing unit, Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS), to investment firms Pacific Investment Management Co (PIMCO) and KKR & Co. The proposed deal, valued at approximately $5 billion, includes the sale of existing motorcycle loan portfolios. - read more
Westpac has announced a promotional offer for individuals seeking to finance their motorcycle purchases. Until 30 October 2025, the bank is waiving the $250 establishment fee on its unsecured personal loans for motorcycles. This initiative aims to make motorbike ownership more accessible and affordable for Australians. - read more
National Finance and Loans (NFAL) has entered into a multi-year partnership with Honda Racing Australia, marking a significant collaboration in the Australian motorcycle racing scene. This alliance was unveiled at the final round of the Australian Supercross Championship, where NFAL assumed title rights for rider Alex Larwood's #5 entry. - read more
Regular maintenance is crucial for ensuring the longevity and safety of your motorbike. Neglecting maintenance can result in a host of problems that can put your safety at risk and lead to costly repairs down the line. By performing routine maintenance, you can prevent problems before they arise and keep your motorbike running smoothly. - read more
Finding the freedom to explore the open roads atop a new motorcycle can be an exhilarating prospect. However, before you rev up those engines, understanding the financial gateway to securing a bike loan in Australia is essential. Preparation with the right documents can streamline your application process, setting you on the path to hassle-free approval. - read more
Are you ready to hit the open road on a brand-new motorcycle but unsure how to finance it? You're not alone. Many Australians dream of owning a motorcycle, yet navigating the sea of financing options can feel like tackling a hairpin turn. - read more
The wind in your hair, the roar of the engine, and the freedom of the open road – there's nothing quite like the thrill of owning your dream motorcycle. For many enthusiasts, it's not just a mode of transportation; it's a lifelong ambition, a symbol of adventure and independence. But unless you've been saving for years, the prohibitive cost could make this dream seem out of reach. - read more
Start Here
Knowledgebase
Underwater Mortgage: A mortgage in which the balance owed on the loan is greater than the value of the property securing the loan.
