RBA Expected to Maintain Current Interest Rate Amid Economic Jitters
RBA Expected to Maintain Current Interest Rate Amid Economic Jitters
1
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
Tuesday's meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain the current cash rate at 4.35%.
However, borrowers are being advised to brace themselves for possible future rate hikes as the board remains cautious about future economic shifts.
According to Gareth Aird, Head of Australian Economics at Commonwealth Bank, the rate is likely to stay the same for now, but the RBA’s stance might still be open to future changes based on evolving economic data. "We expect no changes to the cash rate but the board will likely state that it remains vigilant on potential inflationary pressures," Aird predicts.
Should Aird's projections hold true, the RBA would keep the rate at a 12-year high, aiming to bring inflation down to its 2-3% target by mid-2026.
"The likelihood of a rate change is minimal," Aird noted, stressing that RBA Governor Michele Bullock usually echoes the same sentiment about remaining alert to inflation risks while acknowledging GDP growth uncertainties.
Relief washed over Australians on Wednesday when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June revealed a slight increase from 3.6% to 3.8%, which, while still higher than RBA's goal, aligns with their forecasts. More crucially, the core inflation rate-or the trimmed mean CPI-dipped slightly from 4% to 3.9%.
The quarterly August Statement of Monetary Policy, to be released concurrently with the cash rate announcement, includes the federal government’s $300 energy rebate. Stephen Wu of CommBank suggests this could potentially lead the RBA to revise headline inflation figures downward, while predictions for the underlying CPI would likely remain static.
"The statement will probably reaffirm that the path for interest rates remains uncertain," Wu wrote, acknowledging any favorable inflation data would still keep the existing narrative intact and deter immediate changes in policy.
This cautionary approach persists despite predictions from some economists about a possible rate decrease before Christmas. Financial services website RateCity has advised borrowers to acquaint themselves with the prospect of another rate hike, given the stubborn nature of inflation.
RateCity’s research director, Sally Tindall, highlighted that even a modest rise of 25 basis points would add approximately $75 to monthly payments on a $500,000 mortgage, accumulating to a total of $1,285 in increased payments since May 2022.
For instance, those with a $750,000 mortgage would face monthly increases of around $112, pushing the total rise in payments to $1,928 during the same period.
"This scenario aligns well within the RBA’s planned timeline but also underscores the urgency should inflation rates not decline soon," Tindall said, urging vigilance and preparedness among borrowers.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers has avoided making specific predictions ahead of Tuesday’s RBA decision, despite acknowledging that the recent inflation readings showed encouraging signs amid continuing cost-of-living challenges.
Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor, meanwhile, has criticized the government’s spending habits, blaming increased government expenditure for feeding inflation. "The government must complement the RBA’s efforts by controlling fiscal policy, and their failure to do so leaves Australia lagging behind other G10 countries," he said.
For ongoing updates, you can visit the original publication on TheIntercept.com.
Published:Monday, 5th Aug 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
Suzuki Motorcycles Australia has announced a strategic partnership with Pepper Asset Finance, aiming to provide customers with more flexible and accessible financing options for both new and used motorcycles. This collaboration is set to enhance the purchasing experience for Australian riders by offering tailored financial solutions. - read more
The Australian motorcycle industry has encountered a significant downturn, with sales dropping by 11% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. According to the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI), a total of 19,903 motorcycles and off-highway vehicles (OHVs) were sold between January and March 2024, highlighting the impact of economic challenges on consumer spending. - read more
Peter Stevens Motorcycles, a cornerstone of Australia's motorcycle retail industry since 1970, has entered voluntary administration, revealing debts exceeding $65.9 million. This development casts uncertainty over the future of the company's 400 employees and its extensive customer base. - read more
In a notable achievement within the Australian motorcycle industry, MotorCycle Holdings Limited has reported an 8% increase in new motorcycle sales for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. This growth significantly outpaces the national market's modest 1% increase during the same period. - read more
When it comes to buying a new motorcycle, financing is often the most suitable solution for most people. There are two main options available: bike loans and personal loans. It's important to understand the key differences between the two to help you make an informed decision. - read more
When it comes to purchasing a new motorcycle, securing favorable loan terms is essential for a smooth and affordable financial transaction. Negotiating motorcycle loan terms allows you to have better control over interest rates, loan duration, and repayment conditions, ultimately ensuring that you secure the best possible deal. - read more
Securing a motorcycle loan is a significant step for many Australians who dream of hitting the open road on two wheels. Not only does it provide personal freedom, but it also offers a sense of adventure and independence that’s hard to match. - read more
Are you ready to hit the open road on a brand-new motorcycle but unsure how to finance it? You're not alone. Many Australians dream of owning a motorcycle, yet navigating the sea of financing options can feel like tackling a hairpin turn. - read more
Start Here
Knowledgebase
Mortgagor: A person who offers to assign an asset as security (e.g. real estate) under a mortgage loan contract. The lender (mortgagee) holds the legal ownership of the security until the loan is repaid and the mortgage is discharged.
